Anyone who has been watching baseball for more than a couple of weeks should know better than to call any pennant chase over with more than a month left in the season. Just a month ago today, after all, the Toronto Blue Jays sat in fourth place in the AL East at 50-51, trailing the Yankees by eight games. Toronto now leads that division by 1 1/2 games. And there are too many recent examples of late-season surges and slumps that affected postseason races to bother listing here.

Which is all to say, of course, that nearly anything can happen between now and the final day of of the regular season on Oct. 4. But even with that in mind, many of the 2015 postseason spots look more or less secured: According to the postseason odds at Baseball Prospectus — a daily must-visit at this point in the year…